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Federal Budget & Tax:      News     Blog     Background    



Wednesday, April 30, 2008

First Jackson, Now Lurita Doan Falls

The long saga of General Services Administrator Lurita Doan has finally come to an end - the White House fired her yesterday. We have posted extensively on Doan's short tenure at the GSA on this blog, in our press room, and in the Watcher as well. It seemed there just was never enough print space to truly capture all the corrupt, illegal, and unethical behavior of Ms. Doan (also see here, here, here, and here).

My only question at this point is, why was she fired now? It's been 11 months since the independent Office of Special Counsel recommended to President Bush that Doan be fired for blatant violations of the Hatch Act - which prohibits the use of federal resources for partisan political activities. It certainly does seem like strange timing, but I suppose I should stop being surprised by the bizarre actions of this administration.

It is time to say farewell and good luck to Administrator Doan. Thanks, Ms. Doan, for wasting our money, helping out your friends with no-bid contracts, hiding the truth by interfering with oversight investigations, attempting to intimidate an Inspector General's office, violating federal law, keeping us entertained at many congressional hearings with your poor memory and shifty ways, and generally, making life interesting here at this watchdog organization. You certainly weren't dull.



Posted by Adam Hughes, 09:11:18 AM



Tuesday, April 29, 2008

Reported Details of War Supplemental Procedures

CQ is reporting that House Democratic leadership is going to move a war supplemental spending bill to the House floor next week. A Democratic aide says that the current strategy is to offer three votes: one war spending, one on domestic spending, and one on war policy. In the Senate, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) is setting the state for floor action immediately following House passage.



Posted by Craig Jennings, 05:51:02 PM



Recessions Are Local

The BEA will release 1st quarter GDP figures tomorrow, and the BLS will release employment data on Friday. To be sure, these will be carefully-watched figures as the nation holds its breath waiting to see if we're moving closer to the R-word.

But these are national data, and it becomes easy to overlook the fact that some areas within the nation are currently in throes of economic turmoil. This morning's release of metropolitan employment data reminds us that, regardless of what happens in aggregate, many Americans are already living a recession.

Unemployment rates were higher in March than a year earlier in 309 of the 369 metropolitan areas, lower in 40 areas, and unchanged in 20 areas, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. Fourteen areas, 12 of which are located in California, recorded jobless rates of at least 10.0 percent, while 9 areas registered rates below 3.0 percent. The national unemployment rate in March was 5.2 percent, not seasonally adjusted, up from 4.5 percent a year earlier.

In March, 45 metropolitan areas reported unemployment rates of at least 7.0 percent, up from 26 areas a year earlier, while 69 areas recorded rates below 4.0 percent, down from 128 areas in March 2007....Overall, 193 areas recorded unemployment rates below the U.S. figure of 5.2 percent, 163 areas had higher rates, and 13 areas had the same rate.



Posted by Craig Jennings, 10:37:57 AM



Monday, April 28, 2008

DAILY FISCAL POLICY REPORT -- April 27, 2008

Stimulus 1.0 -- First Checks Going Out Today: The first of 130 million tax "rebate" checks provided under the first stimulus package signed in February will be going out today, earlier than previously announced. The rebates - up to $600 for an individual, $1,200 for a couple and an additional $300 for each dependent child are the biggest part of $168 billion stimulus. Story.

War Supplemental -- Bill Could Top $200 Bn.: According to BNA ($), the House is mulling a war funding bill that would include the remainder of the president's FY 2008 request ($108 billion), his FY 2009 partial-year request ($70 billion), and some $15 billion in domestic spending that may include an extension of unemployment benefits and increased funding for a childhood nutrition program.

Taxes -- Senate Panels Agree on FAA, Highway Package: Leaders of the Senate Finance and Commerce Committees announced late Friday an agreement on a tax package to boost funding for the Federal Aviation Administration and ensure solvency for the Highway Trust Fund. Among the provisions are a "truth in passenger tax disclosures" provision to prevent airlines from presenting fuel surcharges as government taxes and tax credit bonds for rail infrastructure. The package has not yet been scored. American Infrastructure Investment and Improvement Act.



Posted by Dana Chasin, 10:03:48 AM



Friday, April 25, 2008

Federal Decisions Impact State Budgets

There were a slew of articles today from around the country about the impact of federal budget cuts on local communities, particularly for local education programs (see below). These articles detail the impact of cuts on a wide variety of programs and constituencies, from summer school to youth vocational education, from a rape crisis hotline to arts and music classes, from school counseling to early-reading instruction.

Many of these cuts are finally being felt at the local level, despite being approved by Congress up to a year ago. The Center on Budget and Policy Priorities released a report last week stating that 20 states have made or proposed budget cuts that threaten vital services, including public health programs (13 states), services for the elderly and disabled (five states), K-12 education (nine states), and college and university programs (12 states).

The CBPP report has an excellent passage about the importance of federal assistance during economic downturns - particularly in supporting state level investments:

The federal government, which can - and arguably should - run deficits during troubled economic times, can help states minimize damaging budget cuts by providing assistance to the states, as it did in the recession in the early part of this decade. Federal assistance can lessen the extent to which states take these harmful, "pro-cyclical" actions and prevent budget cuts in vital services residents need.

Hopefully those in Congress who are crafting the FY 2009 budget resolution this week will remember their decisions on funding will have consequences for real people down the road. Hopefully they will make the choice to invest in our communities by restoring some federal funding in areas that have been drastically under funded the last few years and help the states support its services when people most need them.

Chicago Tribune: Federal funding cuts could devastate rape crisis hot lines
Chicago Daily Herald: Fox Valley jobs program, participants face tough times with budget cuts
San Diego Union Tribune: School board approves cuts to budget and loss of jobs
Charlottesville, VA: Madison Co. School Budget Cuts
Baltimore Sun: Lean budget proposal unveiled in Carroll
Arizona Republic: State universities await ruling on budget cuts



Posted by Adam Hughes, 10:13:50 AM



Thursday, April 24, 2008

Medicare Regs Bill Could be Tucked into War Sup

CongressDaily is reporting ($) that language from a Medicaid bill that was overwhelmingly passed by the House yesterday may be added to the FY08/09 war supplemental bill. By placing the Medicaid language inside the spending bill, Congress would not only force President Bush to veto a war spending bill for the sake of rejecting changes to Medicaid, but it could also make Sen. Chuck Grassley (R-IA) think twice about mounting a filibuster against it.



Posted by Craig Jennings, 04:03:35 PM



The Policy Implications of Statistics and Semantics
Go Figure

The Commerce Department announced this morning that home sales in the U.S. had slumped in March to their lowest levels in 167 months, or nearly 17 years. Today's figures are one of the last that may influence forecasts ahead of the Commerce Department's advance report on first-quarter gross domestic product due next Wednesday. Growth slowed to a 0.3 percent annual pace from January through March, the weakest in more than five years, according to the median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. Story.

A gain of 0.3 percent GDP growth makes it a close call. If the first quarter GDP figures show negative growth, then we are offically on a "recession" track. Positive growth figures, and President Bush will be technically correct for now, in saying our economy is in a slowdown. But if the numbers come up recession, the already growing calls for a second stimulus package will grow exponentially.

And next Friday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the unemployment figures for the month of April. Some, particularly those in the administration, have argued that unemployment in the current 5 percent range is not sufficiently alarming to warrant extensions or increases in unemployment insurance benefits. So these figures, too, will be closely watched, particularly by policymakers designing stimulus packages.

Can semantics actually determine policy? Are policymakers really numerologists?

Such is the symbolism of statistics -- a number is worth a thousand words.



Posted by Dana Chasin, 12:17:22 PM



House Moves Bill to Stop Medicaid Changes

Yesterday the House passed a bill that would stop the Bush administration from going forward with several regulations intended to cut Medicaid services. The administration developed the regulations under the guise of "fiscal integrity," arguing state Medicaid programs are using loopholes to inappropriately claim federal funds. Bush has threatened to veto the bill.

Fortunately, the bill passed the House in a 349-62 vote which, if the margin holds, would be enough to override a veto. State governments also support the bill. According to the Associated Press, "The governors of all 50 states…oppose the rules."

If all this bipartisanship and widespread agreement make you uncomfortable, fear not — the U.S. Senate is on the case.

Click here to read more

Posted by Matt Madia, 11:25:23 AM



A Different Kind of Veto Threat

This week, Democratic Congressional leadership is mulling options for attaching domestic spending provisions to a forthcoming war supplemental bill. OMB Director Jim Nussle has warned Congress that a war spending bill that exceeds the president's remaining FY 2008 request ($108 billion) will be vetoed.

President Bush has shown that when it comes to domestic spending bills, his threats are credible -- witness last year's Labor-H appropriations bill and SCHIP enhancement. But when it comes to war funding, it's a different story. On May 1 last year, the president vetoed a war supplemental bill (H.R. 1591) because, according to this SAP, it contained not only troop withdrawal language, but also "billions in unrequested spending that is largely unjustified and non-emergency." The bill would have funded the wars at about $100 billion and domestic spending at about $24 billion.

After adoption by the House and Senate, the bill was vetoed as promised. Congress promptly sent Bush another war supplemental (H.R. 2206) containing similar levels for domestic and war spending, but it did lack troop withdrawal language. The president issued another veto threat citing concerns about "billions of dollars of spending and other provisions completely unrelated to the war." Despite that threat, the president signed the bill.

This should inform Congress's deliberations regarding how much domestic spending it can attach to a war supplemental. Put bluntly: It shouldn't be shy. At. All. There's plenty of reason to believe that the president's unquenchable thirst for war-making money would render his veto hand limp before a laundry list of much-needed domestic spending provisions.



Posted by Craig Jennings, 10:38:24 AM



Wednesday, April 23, 2008

Contractor Accountability Heats Up

Scott Amey over at the Project on Government Oversight reminded us on Monday that there has been a lot of long overdue action in Washington this month to hold federal contractors more accountable. Scott has a nice summary of some of the bills garnering attention in the House and a few other snipits from the past few weeks related to federal contracting. (Read Scott's summary). Two of the bills Scott mentions (H.R. 5712 and H.R. 3033 will be considered on the House floor this week. Another one, H.R. 3928 - which would require disclosure of the names and salaries of the most highly compensated officers of any contractor receiving more than 80 percent of their annual gross review from federal contracts, will also be considered on the floor this week.

In addition, House Oversight and Government Reform Chairman Henry Waxman (D-CA) - who you can give a great deal of the credit for getting many of the current efforts off the ground - sent letters yesterday to KBR, Inc., and 14 other contractors who are working in Iraq and Afghanistan requesting information about the use of off-shore subsidiaries to reduce federal tax liability (KRB, Inc. letter, Sample of letter to other contractors).

This request is a follow-up to a briefing given to the House committee by employees of KBR, Inc. at the end of March after it was disclosed in the Boston Globe that KBR used offshore subsidiaries to avoid payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare. The House has already begun to correct this loophole with legislation (H.R. 5602) that would treat foreign subsidiaries performing services under contract with the government as American companies for the purposes of payroll taxes. But it is good Waxman is continuing to dig for more dirt on the tax evasion techniques of federal contractors and general waste and abuse of federal resources - something he has gotten used to doing during his career, according to this profile of Waxman in The Hill newspaper.

Update: Another upcoming item on contracting I neglected to mention is an oversight hearing being held by Sen. Byron Dorgan (D-ND) in the Democratic Policy Committee on contract abuses in Iraq. Dorgan and the DPC will hear testimony on April 28 at 2:00 pm from three whistleblowers who were former employees with contractors working in Iraq. The hearing will be in room 406 of the Dirksen Senate Office Building.



Posted by Adam Hughes, 09:00:18 AM



Tuesday, April 22, 2008

Times: Clouding the Housing Debate with "Facts"

For the second time in as many weeks, the New York Times tries to make sense of the nation's housing crisis and editorializes in favor of expanded bankruptcy protection and against "voluntary" efforts to forestall further foreclosures and foster re-financings, but it flies in the face of the facts:

Most important, Congress must not continue with efforts that have not worked to date, namely, appeals to the mortgage industry to act voluntarily to help distressed borrowers. Instead, lawmakers should allow bankrupt homeowners to have their mortgages modified under court protection.

This formulation does a disservice to readers and is likely to be ignored by policymakers seeking sensible solutions to the housing crisis for two reasons:

  • False Dichotomy: foreclosure prevention via re-financings does not preclude prevention via bankruptcy, or vice-versa. To suggest otherwise irrationally removes a vital policy tool from among the viable solutions available to policymakers.
  • Laissez-Faire vs. Incentivized 'Voluntary" Programs: President Bush's "HOPE" program is aptly named -- borrowers and lenders can only hope their counterparts are willing to re-negotiate; Barney Frank's plan rewards borrowers and lenders who voluntarily re-negotiate.

As we commented, last week's editorial put forth the very same false dichotomy, so the Times reader is now left to puzzle this out: why is the paper suggesting that without a bankruptcy provision, any housing bill is really a mortgage industry bailout? The merits aside, the legislative reality is that the bankruptcy provision faces long odds: it was defeated 36-58 by the Senate on April 3 -- 11 Democrats voting against. Bush has promised to veto the provision. Does the Times mean to suggest that there are no viable legislative solutions to the housing crisis?



Posted by Dana Chasin, 11:42:37 AM



Monday, April 21, 2008

Supersized Supplemental Spending?

Saturday's New York Times reported on an emerging if-you-can't-beat-them-join-them strategy congressional Democrats are weighing as Congress takes up the Bush administration's request for a $108 billion supplemental war spending package for FY08:

Congressional Democrats have said that they will not simply grant Mr. Bush's request, but will once again seek to attach strings, including a requirement that Iraq pay a higher share of the costs. The Democrats also plan to add up to $30 billion in domestic spending that they say is needed to help the economy. Some Democrats are also trying to approve an additional $70 billion to sustain military operations through the end of Mr. Bush's term.

The theory: give President Bush so much more than than he has asked for that he won't look the legislative gift horse in the mouth and veto domestic stimulus add-ons, as he had threatened to do if such items were added to his original $108 billion request. And what a gift -- an extra $70 billion in war spending to be used "through the end of Mr. Bush's term" -- that is, in the three-plus months of FY09 before Bush leaves office on Jan. 20, 2009.

This would add up to a supersized $208 billion supplemental -- the largest in history, by far.

Image by Flickr user ERIK98122 used under a Creative Commons license.



Posted by Dana Chasin, 05:16:01 PM



Friday, April 18, 2008

Earmarks for Me, But Not for Thee

Hurling invective at earmarks and deriding them all as wasteful "bridges to nowhere," is a popular theme these days. However, as Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) has recently demonstrated, adopting a pox-on-all-earmarks position can quickly dissolve into a cafeteria-style earmark policy: "I like this earmark and this earmark, but not that one over there."

Yesterday, ThinkProgress noted that Sen. John McCain's (R-AZ) plan to abolish earmarks from the federal budget would result in the elimination of U.S. funding assistance to Israel. McCain's presidential campaign responded to the finding by saying that, as president, McCain would "ensure America remains committed to the security of Israel, including maintaining America's assistance levels."

...

McCain has already made an exception for the $3 billion in foreign aid to Israel that is cited by the CRS. But he apparently is still willing to cut the rest of the earmarks in the CRS report. According to an analysis by Center for American Progress Senior Fellow Scott Lilly, that CRS report includes assistance to Egypt, Jordan, and Haiti as an earmark. Moreover, it includes funding for military family housing.

The fact is, there is nothing inherently nefarious about funding Congressperson-requested projects—some projects may be more useful, more appreciated, or otherwise "better" than others, but that a Congressperson has asked for it doesn't make it necessarily wasteful. And calling for an outright ban on earmarks will cut spending on programs that not everyone finds offensive - like the Iraq Study Group, for instance. This is not to say that the earmark process is not subject to abuses, however, but rather than prohibiting a particular spending mechanism, it makes more sense to bring the to the process a level scrutiny that will allow Congress and its constituents to debate the merits of these projects.



Posted by Craig Jennings, 05:31:19 PM



Pottery Barn Rule Non-Operational?

Sens. Ben Nelson (D-NE), Susan Collins (R-ME), and Evan Bayh (D-IN) are calling for war spending language that would shift some reconstruction costs to Iraqis. Their proposal would convert U.S. reconstruction funds from grants to loans. Citing Iraq's budget surplus and the U.S.'s deficit, Nelson said that Iraq must take fiscal responsibility for its reconstruction.

With Iraq's projected budget surplus estimated at $60 billion and the United States grappling with an ever-growing debt and spiraling deficits, we must look for solutions to end Iraq's cycle of dependence on American taxpayers. Iraq must take more responsibility for its own future by shouldering more of the costs for reconstruction and security. The era of the Administration's blank check policy for Iraq must come to an end.

This is departure from Secretary of State Colin Powell's dictum that the U.S.'s invasion of Iraq entails ownership of the outcome. It will be interesting to see if the Nelson-Collins approach creeps into other aspects of Iraq spending. Is it conceivable that the Pentagon could/would bill Iraq's established, but highly-factional government for the use of our military?

Image used under a Creative Commons license by Flickr user show and tell.


Posted by Craig Jennings, 02:53:45 PM



Thursday, April 17, 2008

More Fallout From Federal Budget Cuts

The Washington Post reported this morning that U.S. nuclear weapons labs are losing staff and not undertaking necessary and valuable research because of budget cuts. From the Post article:

The directors of the nation's three national nuclear weapons laboratories say that budget cuts by Congress and the Bush administration have reduced their ability to carry out scientific research needed to ensure the reliability of the nation's nuclear arsenal in future years.

Another example of the impact of budget cuts and years of underfunding important priorities. There isn't much fallout at this point from the lack of resources, but I think this is one area in particular we do not want to wait to see what happens.



Posted by Adam Hughes, 11:09:11 AM



Bill to Stop Medicaid Regs Moves Forward

A bill to delay seven regulations that would eliminate or severely cut Medicaid health care programs won unanimous approval yesterday in the House Energy and Commerce Committee by a vote of 46 - 0. The top Senate Republican on this topic - Sen. Charles Grassley (R-IA) - opposes the House bill despite overwhelming bipartisan support for it. Grassley prefers to amend the regulations rather than postpone for a year. House Energy and Commerce Ranking Member Joe Barton (R-TX) is confident the bill will pass both chambers and also that there is sufficient support to override a possible veto from the White House. Health and Human Services Secretary Leavitt has sent a letter to the House committee this past Tuesday saying he would recommend a veto (read the letter)

The proposed regulations would end up transferring up to $50 billion in costs for the Medicaid program to states. These regulations would have eliminated payments for Medicaid-related administrative activities at schools and specialized medical transportation services for children and hospital outpatient services. They would also have restricted rehabilitation payments and slashed states' ability to provide case management services for disabled beneficiaries.

Having a bill that opposes an administration initiative passed out of a House committee by a vote of 46 - 0 is a pretty strong start. At this point it looks like Barton, et al, are right - Grassley is swimming up stream on this one.



Posted by Adam Hughes, 09:09:04 AM



Wednesday, April 16, 2008

Re-Stimulus Redux

Act II, Scene I in the legislative drama of the stimulus played out this afternoon in the House Ways & Means Committee, as the panel considered a proposal to give residents of most states an additional 13 weeks of unemployment benefits, on top of the 26 weeks already authorized under law. Residents of states with unemployment rates at or above 6 percent (today, that means Alaska and Michigan) would get an additional 13 weeks.

But the final vehicle for this measure as well as for any other measures that might become part of a second srtimulus package is yet undetermined. Some have suggested attaching a Stimulus 2.0 package to a war spending supplemental bill expected to be taken up in the coming weeks.

In Act I, the audience will recall, unemployment extension was shown an early exit, stage right, as Republicans killed cloture in a 58-41 vote-and-dagger perfectly party-line procedural play on Feb. 6.

Watch this space for further developments as the drama unfolds.



Posted by Dana Chasin, 04:59:18 PM



Friday, April 11, 2008

Boehner: Preschool Education, Food Stamps "Wasteful Pork-barrel Spending"

Referring to speculation that Democrats would add domestic spending provisions to a $108 billion war supplemental bill, House Minority Leader John Boehner (R-OH) said, "We will fight against any cynical attempts to...pile billions more in unrelated and wasteful pork-barrel spending onto the backs of our men and women in uniform serving so bravely."

Here's a list of programs (CQ, $) for which a few Democrats would like to see funding in the war spending bill:

  • Food Stamps
  • Levee repairs for the Gulf Coast
  • Head Start
  • Nutrition for low-income pregnant women and children
  • Low-income energy assistance
  • Wildfire fighting

Arguing the merits of funding these priorities - including the war itself - in a supplemental spending bill may well be called for, but calling Food Stamps, levee repair, etc. "wasteful pork-barrel spending" piled on "the backs of our men and women in uniform?" That's cynical.



Posted by Craig Jennings, 11:33:25 AM



Wednesday, April 09, 2008

DAILY FISCAL POLICY REPORT -- April 9, 2008

Health Care -- Bipartisan Support for Blocking Bush Medicaid Rule: CQ reports ($) that a House bill that would block the president's Medicaid rule changes is gaining support among Republicans. The proposed rule changes would shift about $17.8 billion (over five years) in Medicaid costs to states. The bill, H.R. 5613, will be marked up today in the Committee on Energy and Commerce Health Subcommittee.

War Spending -- Iraq Supplemental May Have Additional Stimulus Spending: After last week's deterioration of employment data released by the government, Sen. Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) and Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D-MI), along with Democratic House leaders, are calling for adding extension of unemployment benefits to the upcoming Iraq war spending bill. House Republicans have vowed to oppose additional stimulus spending. CongressDaily ($)

Inequality -- CBPP/EPI: Income Inequality Continues to Rise: The Center on Budget and Policy Priorities and the Economic Policy Institute have released a lengthy report analyzing state-by-state data on income trends. The report concludes that "The gap between the richest and poorest families...grew significantly in most states over the past two decades...In fact, the nation's longstanding trend of growing inequality accelerated since the late 1990s as incomes fell for poor families in a number of states." CBPP/EPI Report Executive Summary

Taxes -- "Extenders" Package Could Move Before End of May: Sen. Finance Committee Chairman Max Baucus (D-MT) hopes to introduce, mark up and bring the extenders package of tax cuts to the Senate floor before the start of the Memorial Day Recess in May. The legislation would be fully offset, cover two years (2008 and 2009), and cost about $50 billion. Baucus would not pin down a date for introducing the measure, but stressed the need to get work done early: "We've got to do as much as we can during this work period." BNA ($)



Posted by Adam Hughes, 09:27:00 AM



Friday, April 04, 2008

Frank's Housing Bill Is Good Policy, Good Politics

Dana has a piece up at TPM Café in which he outlines a set of criteria - political and substantive - that qualify a housing bill as effective and viable.

  • It cannot involve "massive government intervention," or it risks the threat of veto by President Bush
  • It must pay for itself or include offsetting tax hikes or spending cuts to comply with the pay-as-you-go
  • (PAYGO) constraints Congress has imposed on itself
  • It cannot involve a bailout of either financial institutions or investors who have lent to homeowners or to
  • homeowners who have borrowed, except perhaps in "predatory" cases, since "bailout" is a dirty word, connoting taxpayer exploitation

A proposal floated by House Financial Services Committee Chair Barney Frank (D-MA) manages to meet all of the above criteria — except for the last. Still, the "FHA Housing Stabilization and Homeownership Retention Act of 2008" (FHAHSAHRA), avoids all political and legislative minefields and could forestall over half of the foreclosures otherwise projected to occur over the next 18 months.



Posted by Craig Jennings, 05:03:22 PM




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